contents
| basic
aspects of hydrology | hydrological
processes |
sample processes |
catchment | rain
discharge transformation within a catchment | hydrology
of floods | what
is the problem with hydrology | hydrological
modelisation | typical
problems for FIRMA model (with example) |
basic
aspects of hydrology
the
aim of hydrology:
To determine how much water will be in a given location and
condition. This is a more complex issue than it at first might
seem; for example, as local mayor may want to address local
flooding, but this is not a purely local issue, and the areas
up and downstream need to be considered: there is the need
then to 'zoom out'.
The hydrological cycle: Is a continuum, broken by the observer
into
-
storages
-
water bodies
-
with possible internal evolutionary laws
- water
fluxes
-
inside or between water bodies
-
associated to hydrological processes
The
main freshwater storages are: Ranked here by increasing time
constant - atmosphere
-
soil moisture (non saturated area)
-
rivers
-
snowpack
-
lakes ; reservoirs
-
groundwater (saturated area)
-
icepack
The
main freshwater fluxes include:
-
Precipitation
-
(actual) Evapotranspiration
-
Infiltration and seepage (= ex filtration)
-
Runoff (on slopes)
- Discharge
(in rivers)
hydrological
processes:
- Water
fluxes are linked to hydrological processes:
-
not only fluxes between water bodies
-
also internal evolution of water bodies
-
A process is an elementary behaviour that can described
as a whole, and whose level of formalisation may vary. It
is under control of various factors
sample
processes
Sample
process: runoff formation
-
according to Horton, runoff occurs where and when rain rate
exceeds infiltration capacity
-
according to Capus, Hewlett, Beven, runoff occurs where
and when rain falls on saturated areas
-
importance of the soil structure
Sample
process: runoff collection to discharge
-
Overland flow (on slopes)
-
Gullies, connectivity topics
-
Importance of relative location of land use
-
Importance of subrogate features of land use (direction
of ploughing)
Sample
process: underground flow
-
The continuous model
-
unsatured zone : the Richards equation
-
satured zone : the Darcy equation
-
local formula
-
integrated form for alluvial aquifers
-
integrated form for constrained aquifer
-
The problem of parameters estimation
-
importance of K(q, x, y, z) (a tensor)
-
Preferential pathes
-
biological macropores
-
pipes
-
roots
-
Impervious layers
catchment
An
key hydrological object is the catchment (= the basin)
-
An outlet
-
The river network upstream
- Slopes
- both side of the rivers
- Includes
- surface
and subsurface storages in relation to the river
why
study catchments ?
- the
best possible system to study as far as geophysical fluxes
as considered
-
one input (rain, other atmospheric conditions)
-
one output (discharge at the outlet)
-
the best possible unit for effective management
-
what I do here is my problem
the
catchment : limits
-
A fully explicit, exhaustive description is impossible because
of
-
the fractal nature of the river network
-
the fractal nature of the topography
-
the partially unreachable description of the under ground
-
the unsteady character of the topography and soil properties
at detailed scale
-
The catchment is
- a
point (the outlet)
-
a set of lines (the river network)
-
an area (interacting with the atmosphere),
-
a volume (including the underground). o Implementation
of such an object in a GIS is not straightforward.
- The
definition of a catchment is outlet dependent.
-
Two gauging stations define either nested or non-nested
catchments
-
Data out of many catchments are part of a data hierarchy
that must sometimes be considered explicitly (discharge
mapping).
-
Some problems seem point oriented...
-
´ how can I reduced floods here -a Ö but must
be handled considering all the processes - upstream
(causes) and
-
downstream (consequencies of options to take). Often
we have to ´ zoom out -a to have a grasp at the
problem as a whole.
-
It is usually not an administrative division
- The
concept may break down - karstic areas - flat, human dominated
areas
hydrological
monographies
-
A balanced description of a catchment (hydrological monography)
can be very interesting.
-
It will not solve all possible and unexpected questions.
A problem oriented description of a catchment
-
needs a variety of choices to be done
-
selecting the processes relevant to the problem
-
the scale of the features to explicitely take into account.
-
the time to be considered
-
the abduction of non-relevant details has to remain in mind.
rain-discharge
transformation within a catchment Production
and transfer functions
- ´
Production -a
-
relates the gross precipitation over the catchment to
the net precipitation that is to flow through the outlet.
-
non-flowing water is only considered as a soil moisture
controlling factor, influencing the soil behaviour under
further rains.
- ´
Transfer -a
- relates
the produced ´ net precipitation -a to the discharge.
About
this scheme
-
It is common choice to
- -
upload the production function with all the non-linearity
of the rain-discharge transformation.
- -consider
the transfert function as linear.
- This
approximation may be valid for heavy rains
conceptual
approaches to the transfer aspects
- Unit
Hydrograph (Sherman, 1932)
- the
transfer function is assumed linear.
-
the structure of the non-linear production function
remains author-dependant.
-
parameters for both parts are identified from a joint
pair of long rainfall/discharge time series.
-
Geomorphologic Unit Hydrograph :
-
an improvement from the previous approach
-
the shape of the unit hydrograph is related to distances
and slopes along the runoff pathways from the catchment
to the outlet
-
this gives clearer constraints to what the production
function can be
limits
to these approaches
- Isotopes
evaluations show that most of the water of the flood has
been in the soil long before the begin of the rain.
hydraulically based description of the transfer aspects
- Continuity
equation
- Dynamic
equation
-
potential energy + kinetic energy
-
Head losses o along the stream (energy loss in turbulence,
interactions between the water and the reach)
-
localised (in hydraulic jumps from torrential to fluvial
conditions
various
levels of description for hydraulic transfer
-
in general, PDE equations
-
3D equations (Navier Stokes)
-
small scale studies like geomorphology, flow around
a bridge
-
2D equations (BarrÈ Saint-Venant)
-
where overland flow is most relevant : dam breakes,
flooding of broader areas with non negligible speed
in the flooded part
- 1D+storages
(Barre Saint-Venant) :
-
where the flooded area is broken in independent storages,
where speed is negligible
- 1D
(Barre Saint-Venant) :
-
where streamflow is concentrated in the minor riverbed
(no flooding).
- including
dam breaks, working spillways, moving hydraulic jumps,
...
- Simplified
1D equations :
- Diffusive
wave approximation :
- flood
diffusion in gentle, sub-horizontal rivers
-
Cinematic wave approximation :
- flood
propagation in steep rivers or lateral slopes
- 1D,
steady-state approximation :
-
if time variations are negligible. Mostly broad, gentle
rivers,
-
a important step for text-books in hydraulics (clear,
intuitive relation of results to energetic consideration
and limits)
-
1D, uniform approximation :
- to
be considered only in regular, chenalized reaches
- To
predict floods, or to assess flood hazard?
- To
predict o Given a current stage of water and observed
or predicted rain, guess the shape, time of arrival
and water stage to occur in the next future at the interest
point.
- To
assess o Given a observed discharge time-serie, give
probability of a given flood characteristic (peak flow,
duration, volume) to be over-seeded
flood
warning systems
- who
-
civil servants; river authorities; mayors; meteorologists;
hydrologists
- how
-
real time data collection
-
quick data processing, mostly empirical models or analogues
-
365 days, 24 hour communication system to people
-
what
-
technical choice of a flood index to predict, level
of confidence
-
to who
-
police, municipality representatives, everybody ?
-
what to say
-
how clear the warning messages ?
-
readiness to cooperate ?
a
personal interpretation
- some
rivers have long time constants
- gentle
rain, so progressive saturation ; broad basins, so long
hydraulic transfers
-
some rivers have short time constants
-
steep, small catchments ; convective storms.
-
this
-
enable different kind of human measures
-
induced an "hydrology of flash floods" to exist
- but
hydrology is one!
flood
management approaches
-
flood
-
is a natural event
-
can be characterised as an random event => alea
-
flooding
-
can yield damages
- this
depends on the sensitivity of land use vulnerability
the
damage approach : principle
- considers
vulnerability as the cost of damages
- to
minimise by - protective measures (levees),
-
storing or evacuating waters via various works,
- as
far as monetary evaluation proves efficient.
the
damage approach : drawback
-
Due to ...
-
the probabilistic nature of events,
-
the short memory of human beings,
-
teleconnections of local actions and basin-wide effects,
-
spontaneous local management exhibits a drift towards heavy
works that appears to be unsustainable at the basin scale
(spiral of corrective measures).
the
alea / vulnerability approach
-
vulnerability of each type of landuse is a socially determined,
possibly negociated acceptance for flooding
-
some areas, like marshes, may have a positive demand for
flooding.
-
This approach induce a description of the basin as a set
of areas
-
the one are in a lack of protection (red)
-
the other one are "underflooded" (green).
- Relevant
decision board can decide
- to
freeze some areas for them not to turn red soon, to
modify land use, or to spatially modify the alea pattern
with minimal river works, turning areas red to green
at the "hydrological expenses" of green
- The
alea / vulnerability approach can be done
-
via administrative measures, or
-
via local negociations o including payment to insurance
companies
- according
to the cultural habits of each community.
what
is the problem with hydrology ?
definitively
lacking data
- rain
known via
- rain
gauges select 400 cm2 in 100 km2
- weather
radar
- spatial
pattern, but little quantitative consistency o potential
evapotranspiration known via
- observed
meteorological estimation of control factors (temperature,
wind), at 100 km grid size
definitively
lacking data of real evapotranspiration known
- only
via water balance estimation at the field or basin scale
o discharge
- known
at 15 % in some gaging stations (500 working stations in
France).
- include
non registered man-made perturbations that make the assessment
of the intrinsic behaviour of the catchment very difficult
the
hierarchy of processes is unstable
- a
process can easily take precedence on an other because of
- the
quasi-systematic non linearity of processes
- their
sensitivity to the initial conditions
- effect
of water contents
- effect
of soil structure
a
catchment......
- can
have a behaviour that is completely dominated by some usually
neglected process
- as
a behaviour that is not uniquely determine by the contents,
but also by their spatial organisation
- comparison
with a recipe
- we
know the taste of each ingredient.
- we
can NOT predict the taste of the meal
examples
of atypical conditions :
-
Zebra bush in sahelian regions
- Mulch
- Snow
redistribution by the wind
-
Groundwater sustained rivers
-
Man-made linear patterns in landscape
a
built-in link with other specialities
- Soil
physics and plant physiology
- Water
quality, hydrobiology
- River
geomorphology
- Human
and social sciences
- Management
and economy, law, politics
hydrological
modelisation
scientific
reasons to build models
-
Blackboard tool
-
formalisation of concepts
-
possible formal checking
-
knowledge and concepts
-
Data interpretation
-
Behavioural simulation
-
explicitation of non-obvious structure effects
operational
reasons to build models
- answering
specialized questions
-
assessing impacts of land-use change
-
testing general management strategies
scope
of the model ?
-
which area ?
-
which level of detail ?
-
are the details useful ?
-
will we be able to gather the details ?
-
which time scope - season ?
-
duration ?
-
climate and social scenarios ?
-
which hydrologically related features do we need ?
-
floods ; water quantity ; water quality ; hydrobiology
; river geomorphology ; water uses ; land use
-
choice of independant and dependant features ?
some
critical points in hydrological modelisation
-
Assessing the dominant processes
-
Is there a link to what I am interested to ?
-
Choosing time and space scales
-
Choosing a topology
-
Is an object oriented approach usefull ?
-
How to separate objects ?
-
How to specify the relation between objects ?
models
relationship to causality
-
Deterministic models : deductive models
-
Statistical models : inductive models
-
probabilistic models o directly on distributions
-
stochastic models
-
yielding time-series as output
lumped
models
-
boxes flowing the ones into the others through pipes...
-
need for calibration
-
useful as reference catchments in applications involving
reference catchments
steps
in elaborating a lumped, conceptual hydrologic model
-
identification (which structure ?)
-
calibration (value of parameters)
-
validation (check)
-
documentation of limits
-
physical limits
-
numerical limits
distributed
models
-
according to a regular grid
-
an old-fashioned, quite efficient way
-
according to a dominant process-based grid
-
according to an homogeneous area concept
-
valid only in man-made landscape
-
terrific topology
-
a general tool would need the tree forms to be easily mixed!
addressing
sub-grid variability
- mostly
for regular grid distributed models
-
physical parameters unknown and spatially variable at the
sub-grid resolution
-
effective parameters approach :
- equations
are kept same as in the detailed scale, but with (possibly
other) numerical values that account for macroscopic scale
behaviour
-
parametrization approach
- given
a scheme of what the subgrid variability is, a stochastic
approach derives a set of macroscopically suitable equations
that have a form that is not the same as the one of
the small scale o inverse approach - parameters are
estimated backward from overall behaviour of the catchment
-
integrated measurement
-
remote sensors are supposedly able to evaluate some
characteristic parameters of the surface (moisture,
rugosity, slopeÖ) directly at a scale that is suitable
for distributed modeling
explicit
physics and parametrisation
- part
of explicit physics quite modest.
-
unresolved part
- accounted
for via behavioural routines
- tend
to be the core of models (not just in well localized
"parametrisation boxes").
-
models who clame to be deterministic (for they are distributed)
may be completely behavioural when one consider the scheme
implemented at the cell size.
basic
aspects of hydrology
the
aim of hydrology:
To determine how much water will be in a given location and
condition. This is a more complex issue than it at first might
seem; for example, as local mayor may want to address local
flooding, but this is not a purely local issue, and the areas
up and downstream need to be considered: there is the need
then to 'zoom out'.
The hydrological cycle: Is a continuum, broken by the observer
into
-
storages
-
water bodies
-
with possible internal evolutionary laws
- water
fluxes
-
inside or between water bodies
-
associated to hydrological processes
The
main freshwater storages are: Ranked here by increasing time
constant - atmosphere
-
soil moisture (non saturated area)
-
rivers
-
snowpack
-
lakes ; reservoirs
-
groundwater (saturated area)
-
icepack
The
main freshwater fluxes include:
-
Precipitation
-
(actual) Evapotranspiration
-
Infiltration and seepage (= ex filtration)
-
Runoff (on slopes)
- Discharge
(in rivers)
hydrological
processes:
- Water
fluxes are linked to hydrological processes:
-
not only fluxes between water bodies
-
also internal evolution of water bodies
-
A process is an elementary behaviour that can described
as a whole, and whose level of formalisation may vary. It
is under control of various factors
sample
processes
Sample
process: runoff formation
-
according to Horton, runoff occurs where and when rain rate
exceeds infiltration capacity
-
according to Capus, Hewlett, Beven, runoff occurs where
and when rain falls on saturated areas
-
importance of the soil structure
Sample
process: runoff collection to discharge
-
Overland flow (on slopes)
-
Gullies, connectivity topics
-
Importance of relative location of land use
-
Importance of subrogate features of land use (direction
of ploughing)
Sample
process: underground flow
-
The continuous model
-
unsatured zone : the Richards equation
-
satured zone : the Darcy equation
-
local formula
-
integrated form for alluvial aquifers
-
integrated form for constrained aquifer
-
The problem of parameters estimation
-
importance of K(q, x, y, z) (a tensor)
-
Preferential pathes
-
biological macropores
-
pipes
-
roots
-
Impervious layers
catchment
An
key hydrological object is the catchment (= the basin)
-
An outlet
-
The river network upstream
- Slopes
- both side of the rivers
- Includes
- surface
and subsurface storages in relation to the river
why
study catchments ?
- the
best possible system to study as far as geophysical fluxes
as considered
-
one input (rain, other atmospheric conditions)
-
one output (discharge at the outlet)
-
the best possible unit for effective management
-
what I do here is my problem
the
catchment : limits
-
A fully explicit, exhaustive description is impossible because
of
-
the fractal nature of the river network
-
the fractal nature of the topography
-
the partially unreachable description of the under ground
-
the unsteady character of the topography and soil properties
at detailed scale
-
The catchment is
- a
point (the outlet)
-
a set of lines (the river network)
-
an area (interacting with the atmosphere),
-
a volume (including the underground). o Implementation
of such an object in a GIS is not straightforward.
- The
definition of a catchment is outlet dependent.
-
Two gauging stations define either nested or non-nested
catchments
-
Data out of many catchments are part of a data hierarchy
that must sometimes be considered explicitly (discharge
mapping).
-
Some problems seem point oriented...
-
´ how can I reduced floods here -a Ö but must
be handled considering all the processes - upstream
(causes) and
-
downstream (consequencies of options to take). Often
we have to ´ zoom out -a to have a grasp at the
problem as a whole.
-
It is usually not an administrative division
- The
concept may break down - karstic areas - flat, human dominated
areas
hydrological
monographies
-
A balanced description of a catchment (hydrological monography)
can be very interesting.
-
It will not solve all possible and unexpected questions.
A problem oriented description of a catchment
-
needs a variety of choices to be done
-
selecting the processes relevant to the problem
-
the scale of the features to explicitely take into account.
-
the time to be considered
-
the abduction of non-relevant details has to remain in mind.
rain-discharge
transformation within a catchment Production
and transfer functions
- ´
Production -a
-
relates the gross precipitation over the catchment to
the net precipitation that is to flow through the outlet.
-
non-flowing water is only considered as a soil moisture
controlling factor, influencing the soil behaviour under
further rains.
- ´
Transfer -a
- relates
the produced ´ net precipitation -a to the discharge.
About
this scheme
-
It is common choice to
- -
upload the production function with all the non-linearity
of the rain-discharge transformation.
- -consider
the transfert function as linear.
- This
approximation may be valid for heavy rains
conceptual
approaches to the transfer aspects
- Unit
Hydrograph (Sherman, 1932)
- the
transfer function is assumed linear.
-
the structure of the non-linear production function
remains author-dependant.
-
parameters for both parts are identified from a joint
pair of long rainfall/discharge time series.
-
Geomorphologic Unit Hydrograph :
-
an improvement from the previous approach
-
the shape of the unit hydrograph is related to distances
and slopes along the runoff pathways from the catchment
to the outlet
-
this gives clearer constraints to what the production
function can be
limits
to these approaches
- Isotopes
evaluations show that most of the water of the flood has
been in the soil long before the begin of the rain.
hydraulically based description of the transfer aspects
- Continuity
equation
- Dynamic
equation
-
potential energy + kinetic energy
-
Head losses o along the stream (energy loss in turbulence,
interactions between the water and the reach)
-
localised (in hydraulic jumps from torrential to fluvial
conditions
various
levels of description for hydraulic transfer
-
in general, PDE equations
-
3D equations (Navier Stokes)
-
small scale studies like geomorphology, flow around
a bridge
-
2D equations (BarrÈ Saint-Venant)
-
where overland flow is most relevant : dam breakes,
flooding of broader areas with non negligible speed
in the flooded part
- 1D+storages
(Barre Saint-Venant) :
-
where the flooded area is broken in independent storages,
where speed is negligible
- 1D
(Barre Saint-Venant) :
-
where streamflow is concentrated in the minor riverbed
(no flooding).
- including
dam breaks, working spillways, moving hydraulic jumps,
...
- Simplified
1D equations :
- Diffusive
wave approximation :
- flood
diffusion in gentle, sub-horizontal rivers
-
Cinematic wave approximation :
- flood
propagation in steep rivers or lateral slopes
- 1D,
steady-state approximation :
-
if time variations are negligible. Mostly broad, gentle
rivers,
-
a important step for text-books in hydraulics (clear,
intuitive relation of results to energetic consideration
and limits)
-
1D, uniform approximation :
- to
be considered only in regular, chenalized reaches
- To
predict floods, or to assess flood hazard?
- To
predict o Given a current stage of water and observed
or predicted rain, guess the shape, time of arrival
and water stage to occur in the next future at the interest
point.
- To
assess o Given a observed discharge time-serie, give
probability of a given flood characteristic (peak flow,
duration, volume) to be over-seeded
flood
warning systems
- who
-
civil servants; river authorities; mayors; meteorologists;
hydrologists
- how
-
real time data collection
-
quick data processing, mostly empirical models or analogues
-
365 days, 24 hour communication system to people
-
what
-
technical choice of a flood index to predict, level
of confidence
-
to who
-
police, municipality representatives, everybody ?
-
what to say
-
how clear the warning messages ?
-
readiness to cooperate ?
a
personal interpretation
- some
rivers have long time constants
- gentle
rain, so progressive saturation ; broad basins, so long
hydraulic transfers
-
some rivers have short time constants
-
steep, small catchments ; convective storms.
-
this
-
enable different kind of human measures
-
induced an "hydrology of flash floods" to exist
- but
hydrology is one!
flood
management approaches
-
flood
-
is a natural event
-
can be characterised as an random event => alea
-
flooding
-
can yield damages
- this
depends on the sensitivity of land use vulnerability
the
damage approach : principle
- considers
vulnerability as the cost of damages
- to
minimise by - protective measures (levees),
-
storing or evacuating waters via various works,
- as
far as monetary evaluation proves efficient.
the
damage approach : drawback
-
Due to ...
-
the probabilistic nature of events,
-
the short memory of human beings,
-
teleconnections of local actions and basin-wide effects,
-
spontaneous local management exhibits a drift towards heavy
works that appears to be unsustainable at the basin scale
(spiral of corrective measures).
the
alea / vulnerability approach
-
vulnerability of each type of landuse is a socially determined,
possibly negociated acceptance for flooding
-
some areas, like marshes, may have a positive demand for
flooding.
-
This approach induce a description of the basin as a set
of areas
-
the one are in a lack of protection (red)
-
the other one are "underflooded" (green).
- Relevant
decision board can decide
- to
freeze some areas for them not to turn red soon, to
modify land use, or to spatially modify the alea pattern
with minimal river works, turning areas red to green
at the "hydrological expenses" of green
- The
alea / vulnerability approach can be done
-
via administrative measures, or
-
via local negociations o including payment to insurance
companies
- according
to the cultural habits of each community.
what
is the problem with hydrology ?
definitively
lacking data
- rain
known via
- rain
gauges select 400 cm2 in 100 km2
- weather
radar
- spatial
pattern, but little quantitative consistency o potential
evapotranspiration known via
- observed
meteorological estimation of control factors (temperature,
wind), at 100 km grid size
definitively
lacking data of real evapotranspiration known
- only
via water balance estimation at the field or basin scale
o discharge
- known
at 15 % in some gaging stations (500 working stations in
France).
- include
non registered man-made perturbations that make the assessment
of the intrinsic behaviour of the catchment very difficult
the
hierarchy of processes is unstable
- a
process can easily take precedence on an other because of
- the
quasi-systematic non linearity of processes
- their
sensitivity to the initial conditions
- effect
of water contents
- effect
of soil structure
a
catchment......
- can
have a behaviour that is completely dominated by some usually
neglected process
- as
a behaviour that is not uniquely determine by the contents,
but also by their spatial organisation
- comparison
with a recipe
- we
know the taste of each ingredient.
- we
can NOT predict the taste of the meal
examples
of atypical conditions :
-
Zebra bush in sahelian regions
- Mulch
- Snow
redistribution by the wind
-
Groundwater sustained rivers
-
Man-made linear patterns in landscape
a
built-in link with other specialities
- Soil
physics and plant physiology
- Water
quality, hydrobiology
- River
geomorphology
- Human
and social sciences
- Management
and economy, law, politics
hydrological
modelisation
scientific
reasons to build models
-
Blackboard tool
-
formalisation of concepts
-
possible formal checking
-
knowledge and concepts
-
Data interpretation
-
Behavioural simulation
-
explicitation of non-obvious structure effects
operational
reasons to build models
- answering
specialized questions
-
assessing impacts of land-use change
-
testing general management strategies
scope
of the model ?
-
which area ?
-
which level of detail ?
-
are the details useful ?
-
will we be able to gather the details ?
-
which time scope - season ?
-
duration ?
-
climate and social scenarios ?
-
which hydrologically related features do we need ?
-
floods ; water quantity ; water quality ; hydrobiology
; river geomorphology ; water uses ; land use
-
choice of independant and dependant features ?
some
critical points in hydrological modelisation
-
Assessing the dominant processes
-
Is there a link to what I am interested to ?
-
Choosing time and space scales
-
Choosing a topology
-
Is an object oriented approach usefull ?
-
How to separate objects ?
-
How to specify the relation between objects ?
models
relationship to causality
-
Deterministic models : deductive models
-
Statistical models : inductive models
-
probabilistic models o directly on distributions
-
stochastic models
-
yielding time-series as output
lumped
models
-
boxes flowing the ones into the others through pipes...
-
need for calibration
-
useful as reference catchments in applications involving
reference catchments
steps
in elaborating a lumped, conceptual hydrologic model
-
identification (which structure ?)
-
calibration (value of parameters)
-
validation (check)
-
documentation of limits
-
physical limits
-
numerical limits
distributed
models
-
according to a regular grid
-
an old-fashioned, quite efficient way
-
according to a dominant process-based grid
-
according to an homogeneous area concept
-
valid only in man-made landscape
-
terrific topology
-
a general tool would need the tree forms to be easily mixed!
addressing
sub-grid variability
- mostly
for regular grid distributed models
-
physical parameters unknown and spatially variable at the
sub-grid resolution
-
effective parameters approach :
- equations
are kept same as in the detailed scale, but with (possibly
other) numerical values that account for macroscopic scale
behaviour
-
parametrization approach
- given
a scheme of what the subgrid variability is, a stochastic
approach derives a set of macroscopically suitable equations
that have a form that is not the same as the one of
the small scale o inverse approach - parameters are
estimated backward from overall behaviour of the catchment
-
integrated measurement
-
remote sensors are supposedly able to evaluate some
characteristic parameters of the surface (moisture,
rugosity, slopeÖ) directly at a scale that is suitable
for distributed modeling
explicit
physics and parametrisation
- part
of explicit physics quite modest.
-
unresolved part
- accounted
for via behavioural routines
- tend
to be the core of models (not just in well localized
"parametrisation boxes").
-
models who clame to be deterministic (for they are distributed)
may be completely behavioural when one consider the scheme
implemented at the cell size.
examples
of hydrological models
-
square grid, physically based
-
contour and slope grid, physically based
-
square grid, conceptual
- Stanford
IV, Cequeau, ModCou o lumped, conceptual
- CREC,
GR4J, Gardenia
-
semi-lumped, specialised to saturation runoff : Topmodel
what
could be a typical problem for FIRMA modelling ?
the
Chestnut Valley: an example
Background
- Privas,
ArdËche dept, France
-
Key industry : chesnut processing (Christmas, etc.)
-
On the OuvËze river, a tributary to the Rhne
-
Some agricultural opportunities in the valley, downstream
from Privas
The state today of the chestnut valley
-
two tributaries of the Ouveze are used for providing water
to the chestnut industry.
-
Water shortages in Privas
-
Ouveze dry off in summer in Privas
-
Ouveze is merely chesnut waste donwstream from Privas ;
biology near to down to the Rhne.
-
Agriculture does not really start, because lacking water
basic
aspects of hydrology
the
aim of hydrology:
To determine how much water will be in a given location and
condition. This is a more complex issue than it at first might
seem; for example, as local mayor may want to address local
flooding, but this is not a purely local issue, and the areas
up and downstream need to be considered: there is the need
then to 'zoom out'.
The hydrological cycle: Is a continuum, broken by the observer
into
-
storages
-
water bodies
-
with possible internal evolutionary laws
- water
fluxes
-
inside or between water bodies
-
associated to hydrological processes
The
main freshwater storages are: Ranked here by increasing time
constant - atmosphere
-
soil moisture (non saturated area)
-
rivers
-
snowpack
-
lakes ; reservoirs
-
groundwater (saturated area)
-
icepack
The
main freshwater fluxes include:
-
Precipitation
-
(actual) Evapotranspiration
-
Infiltration and seepage (= ex filtration)
-
Runoff (on slopes)
- Discharge
(in rivers)
hydrological
processes:
- Water
fluxes are linked to hydrological processes:
-
not only fluxes between water bodies
-
also internal evolution of water bodies
-
A process is an elementary behaviour that can described
as a whole, and whose level of formalisation may vary. It
is under control of various factors
sample
processes
Sample
process: runoff formation
-
according to Horton, runoff occurs where and when rain rate
exceeds infiltration capacity
-
according to Capus, Hewlett, Beven, runoff occurs where
and when rain falls on saturated areas
-
importance of the soil structure
Sample
process: runoff collection to discharge
-
Overland flow (on slopes)
-
Gullies, connectivity topics
-
Importance of relative location of land use
-
Importance of subrogate features of land use (direction
of ploughing)
Sample
process: underground flow
-
The continuous model
-
unsatured zone : the Richards equation
-
satured zone : the Darcy equation
-
local formula
-
integrated form for alluvial aquifers
-
integrated form for constrained aquifer
-
The problem of parameters estimation
-
importance of K(q, x, y, z) (a tensor)
-
Preferential pathes
-
biological macropores
-
pipes
-
roots
-
Impervious layers
catchment
An
key hydrological object is the catchment (= the basin)
-
An outlet
-
The river network upstream
- Slopes
- both side of the rivers
- Includes
- surface
and subsurface storages in relation to the river
why
study catchments ?
- the
best possible system to study as far as geophysical fluxes
as considered
-
one input (rain, other atmospheric conditions)
-
one output (discharge at the outlet)
-
the best possible unit for effective management
-
what I do here is my problem
the
catchment : limits
-
A fully explicit, exhaustive description is impossible because
of
-
the fractal nature of the river network
-
the fractal nature of the topography
-
the partially unreachable description of the under ground
-
the unsteady character of the topography and soil properties
at detailed scale
-
The catchment is
- a
point (the outlet)
-
a set of lines (the river network)
-
an area (interacting with the atmosphere),
-
a volume (including the underground). o Implementation
of such an object in a GIS is not straightforward.
- The
definition of a catchment is outlet dependent.
-
Two gauging stations define either nested or non-nested
catchments
-
Data out of many catchments are part of a data hierarchy
that must sometimes be considered explicitly (discharge
mapping).
-
Some problems seem point oriented...
-
´ how can I reduced floods here -a Ö but must
be handled considering all the processes - upstream
(causes) and
-
downstream (consequencies of options to take). Often
we have to ´ zoom out -a to have a grasp at the
problem as a whole.
-
It is usually not an administrative division
- The
concept may break down - karstic areas - flat, human dominated
areas
hydrological
monographies
-
A balanced description of a catchment (hydrological monography)
can be very interesting.
-
It will not solve all possible and unexpected questions.
A problem oriented description of a catchment
-
needs a variety of choices to be done
-
selecting the processes relevant to the problem
-
the scale of the features to explicitely take into account.
-
the time to be considered
-
the abduction of non-relevant details has to remain in mind.
rain-discharge
transformation within a catchment Production
and transfer functions
- ´
Production -a
-
relates the gross precipitation over the catchment to
the net precipitation that is to flow through the outlet.
-
non-flowing water is only considered as a soil moisture
controlling factor, influencing the soil behaviour under
further rains.
- ´
Transfer -a
- relates
the produced ´ net precipitation -a to the discharge.
About
this scheme
-
It is common choice to
- -
upload the production function with all the non-linearity
of the rain-discharge transformation.
- -consider
the transfert function as linear.
- This
approximation may be valid for heavy rains
conceptual
approaches to the transfer aspects
- Unit
Hydrograph (Sherman, 1932)
- the
transfer function is assumed linear.
-
the structure of the non-linear production function
remains author-dependant.
-
parameters for both parts are identified from a joint
pair of long rainfall/discharge time series.
-
Geomorphologic Unit Hydrograph :
-
an improvement from the previous approach
-
the shape of the unit hydrograph is related to distances
and slopes along the runoff pathways from the catchment
to the outlet
-
this gives clearer constraints to what the production
function can be
limits
to these approaches
- Isotopes
evaluations show that most of the water of the flood has
been in the soil long before the begin of the rain.
hydraulically based description of the transfer aspects
- Continuity
equation
- Dynamic
equation
-
potential energy + kinetic energy
-
Head losses o along the stream (energy loss in turbulence,
interactions between the water and the reach)
-
localised (in hydraulic jumps from torrential to fluvial
conditions
various
levels of description for hydraulic transfer
-
in general, PDE equations
-
3D equations (Navier Stokes)
-
small scale studies like geomorphology, flow around
a bridge
-
2D equations (BarrÈ Saint-Venant)
-
where overland flow is most relevant : dam breakes,
flooding of broader areas with non negligible speed
in the flooded part
- 1D+storages
(Barre Saint-Venant) :
-
where the flooded area is broken in independent storages,
where speed is negligible
- 1D
(Barre Saint-Venant) :
-
where streamflow is concentrated in the minor riverbed
(no flooding).
- including
dam breaks, working spillways, moving hydraulic jumps,
...
- Simplified
1D equations :
- Diffusive
wave approximation :
- flood
diffusion in gentle, sub-horizontal rivers
-
Cinematic wave approximation :
- flood
propagation in steep rivers or lateral slopes
- 1D,
steady-state approximation :
-
if time variations are negligible. Mostly broad, gentle
rivers,
-
a important step for text-books in hydraulics (clear,
intuitive relation of results to energetic consideration
and limits)
-
1D, uniform approximation :
- to
be considered only in regular, chenalized reaches
- To
predict floods, or to assess flood hazard?
- To
predict o Given a current stage of water and observed
or predicted rain, guess the shape, time of arrival
and water stage to occur in the next future at the interest
point.
- To
assess o Given a observed discharge time-serie, give
probability of a given flood characteristic (peak flow,
duration, volume) to be over-seeded
flood
warning systems
- who
-
civil servants; river authorities; mayors; meteorologists;
hydrologists
- how
-
real time data collection
-
quick data processing, mostly empirical models or analogues
-
365 days, 24 hour communication system to people
-
what
-
technical choice of a flood index to predict, level
of confidence
-
to who
-
police, municipality representatives, everybody ?
-
what to say
-
how clear the warning messages ?
-
readiness to cooperate ?
a
personal interpretation
- some
rivers have long time constants
- gentle
rain, so progressive saturation ; broad basins, so long
hydraulic transfers
-
some rivers have short time constants
-
steep, small catchments ; convective storms.
-
this
-
enable different kind of human measures
-
induced an "hydrology of flash floods" to exist
- but
hydrology is one!
flood
management approaches
-
flood
-
is a natural event
-
can be characterised as an random event => alea
-
flooding
-
can yield damages
- this
depends on the sensitivity of land use vulnerability
the
damage approach : principle
- considers
vulnerability as the cost of damages
- to
minimise by - protective measures (levees),
-
storing or evacuating waters via various works,
- as
far as monetary evaluation proves efficient.
the
damage approach : drawback
-
Due to ...
-
the probabilistic nature of events,
-
the short memory of human beings,
-
teleconnections of local actions and basin-wide effects,
-
spontaneous local management exhibits a drift towards heavy
works that appears to be unsustainable at the basin scale
(spiral of corrective measures).
the
alea / vulnerability approach
-
vulnerability of each type of landuse is a socially determined,
possibly negociated acceptance for flooding
-
some areas, like marshes, may have a positive demand for
flooding.
-
This approach induce a description of the basin as a set
of areas
-
the one are in a lack of protection (red)
-
the other one are "underflooded" (green).
- Relevant
decision board can decide
- to
freeze some areas for them not to turn red soon, to
modify land use, or to spatially modify the alea pattern
with minimal river works, turning areas red to green
at the "hydrological expenses" of green
- The
alea / vulnerability approach can be done
-
via administrative measures, or
-
via local negociations o including payment to insurance
companies
- according
to the cultural habits of each community.
what
is the problem with hydrology ?
definitively
lacking data
- rain
known via
- rain
gauges select 400 cm2 in 100 km2
- weather
radar
- spatial
pattern, but little quantitative consistency o potential
evapotranspiration known via
- observed
meteorological estimation of control factors (temperature,
wind), at 100 km grid size
definitively
lacking data of real evapotranspiration known
- only
via water balance estimation at the field or basin scale
o discharge
- known
at 15 % in some gaging stations (500 working stations in
France).
- include
non registered man-made perturbations that make the assessment
of the intrinsic behaviour of the catchment very difficult
the
hierarchy of processes is unstable
- a
process can easily take precedence on an other because of
- the
quasi-systematic non linearity of processes
- their
sensitivity to the initial conditions
- effect
of water contents
- effect
of soil structure
a
catchment......
- can
have a behaviour that is completely dominated by some usually
neglected process
- as
a behaviour that is not uniquely determine by the contents,
but also by their spatial organisation
- comparison
with a recipe
- we
know the taste of each ingredient.
- we
can NOT predict the taste of the meal
examples
of atypical conditions :
-
Zebra bush in sahelian regions
- Mulch
- Snow
redistribution by the wind
-
Groundwater sustained rivers
-
Man-made linear patterns in landscape
a
built-in link with other specialities
- Soil
physics and plant physiology
- Water
quality, hydrobiology
- River
geomorphology
- Human
and social sciences
- Management
and economy, law, politics
hydrological
modelisation
scientific
reasons to build models
-
Blackboard tool
-
formalisation of concepts
-
possible formal checking
-
knowledge and concepts
-
Data interpretation
-
Behavioural simulation
-
explicitation of non-obvious structure effects
operational
reasons to build models
- answering
specialized questions
-
assessing impacts of land-use change
-
testing general management strategies
scope
of the model ?
-
which area ?
-
which level of detail ?
-
are the details useful ?
-
will we be able to gather the details ?
-
which time scope - season ?
-
duration ?
-
climate and social scenarios ?
-
which hydrologically related features do we need ?
-
floods ; water quantity ; water quality ; hydrobiology
; river geomorphology ; water uses ; land use
-
choice of independant and dependant features ?
some
critical points in hydrological modelisation
-
Assessing the dominant processes
-
Is there a link to what I am interested to ?
-
Choosing time and space scales
-
Choosing a topology
-
Is an object oriented approach usefull ?
-
How to separate objects ?
-
How to specify the relation between objects ?
models
relationship to causality
-
Deterministic models : deductive models
-
Statistical models : inductive models
-
probabilistic models o directly on distributions
-
stochastic models
-
yielding time-series as output
lumped
models
-
boxes flowing the ones into the others through pipes...
-
need for calibration
-
useful as reference catchments in applications involving
reference catchments
steps
in elaborating a lumped, conceptual hydrologic model
-
identification (which structure ?)
-
calibration (value of parameters)
-
validation (check)
-
documentation of limits
-
physical limits
-
numerical limits
distributed
models
-
according to a regular grid
-
an old-fashioned, quite efficient way
-
according to a dominant process-based grid
-
according to an homogeneous area concept
-
valid only in man-made landscape
-
terrific topology
-
a general tool would need the tree forms to be easily mixed!
addressing
sub-grid variability
- mostly
for regular grid distributed models
-
physical parameters unknown and spatially variable at the
sub-grid resolution
-
effective parameters approach :
- equations
are kept same as in the detailed scale, but with (possibly
other) numerical values that account for macroscopic scale
behaviour
-
parametrization approach
- given
a scheme of what the subgrid variability is, a stochastic
approach derives a set of macroscopically suitable equations
that have a form that is not the same as the one of
the small scale o inverse approach - parameters are
estimated backward from overall behaviour of the catchment
-
integrated measurement
-
remote sensors are supposedly able to evaluate some
characteristic parameters of the surface (moisture,
rugosity, slopeÖ) directly at a scale that is suitable
for distributed modeling
explicit
physics and parametrisation
- part
of explicit physics quite modest.
-
unresolved part
- accounted
for via behavioural routines
- tend
to be the core of models (not just in well localized
"parametrisation boxes").
-
models who clame to be deterministic (for they are distributed)
may be completely behavioural when one consider the scheme
implemented at the cell size.
examples
of hydrological models
-
square grid, physically based
-
contour and slope grid, physically based
-
square grid, conceptual
- Stanford
IV, Cequeau, ModCou o lumped, conceptual
- CREC,
GR4J, Gardenia
-
semi-lumped, specialised to saturation runoff : Topmodel
what
could be a typical problem for FIRMA modelling ?
the
Chestnut Valley: an example
Background
- Privas,
ArdËche dept, France
-
Key industry : chesnut processing (Christmas, etc.)
-
On the OuvËze river, a tributary to the Rhne
-
Some agricultural opportunities in the valley, downstream
from Privas
The state today of the chestnut valley
-
two tributaries of the Ouveze are used for providing water
to the chestnut industry.
-
Water shortages in Privas
-
Ouveze dry off in summer in Privas
-
Ouveze is merely chesnut waste donwstream from Privas ;
biology near to down to the Rhne.
-
Agriculture does not really start, because lacking water
Spontaneous
sectorial remediation projects
-
for problems in Privas
-
building dams on the tributaries for an enhancement
of water availability in Privas ; maybe, to sustain
summer discharge of the Ouveze
-
for agriculture
-
building a irrigation pipe from the Rhne
-
An idea for integrated management
-
irrigation pipe to go up to Privas
-
chestnut waste to be diverted to the agricultural areas
-
Expected benefits
-
abundant water to the industry and inhabitants o dam
project can be forgotten
-
river will biologically recover
-
A need o evaluate this and others scheme quickly
A
point raised it that small events may be forgotten by policy
makers. If you are not experiencing floods, it is difficult
to believe that you are at risk of a big flood. In recently
developed areas, there is no memory of what risk can be, and
in the chain of decision making, people are not aware of what
the risks are. The absence of risk through engineering control
means that people do not think what will happen. But by thinking
that small scale risk is decreasing, this means that there
will be less anxiety about big risks, which may still present
a danger.
Using physical catchment as the scale of measurement has been
brought into question Problems of demand for water from different
sources are relevant here. For example, if tourism or agriculture
take water not from their own catchment. By not having an
integrated framework, it may be that stakeholders may achieve
their objectives more easily. The Chestnut Valley is an example
of wherelocal action is not the answer. The local suggestion
would be to build a damm, but analysis suggests other options,
such as a pipe to bring water in from other areas.
Spontaneous
sectorial remediation projects
-
for problems in Privas
-
building dams on the tributaries for an enhancement
of water availability in Privas ; maybe, to sustain
summer discharge of the Ouveze
-
for agriculture
-
building a irrigation pipe from the Rhne
-
An idea for integrated management
-
irrigation pipe to go up to Privas
-
chestnut waste to be diverted to the agricultural areas
-
Expected benefits
-
abundant water to the industry and inhabitants o dam
project can be forgotten
-
river will biologically recover
-
A need o evaluate this and others scheme quickly
A
point raised it that small events may be forgotten by policy
makers. If you are not experiencing floods, it is difficult
to believe that you are at risk of a big flood. In recently
developed areas, there is no memory of what risk can be, and
in the chain of decision making, people are not aware of what
the risks are. The absence of risk through engineering control
means that people do not think what will happen. But by thinking
that small scale risk is decreasing, this means that there
will be less anxiety about big risks, which may still present
a danger.
Using physical catchment as the scale of measurement has been
brought into question Problems of demand for water from different
sources are relevant here. For example, if tourism or agriculture
take water not from their own catchment. By not having an
integrated framework, it may be that stakeholders may achieve
their objectives more easily. The Chestnut Valley is an example
of wherelocal action is not the answer. The local suggestion
would be to build a damm, but analysis suggests other options,
such as a pipe to bring water in from other areas.
examples
of hydrological models
-
square grid, physically based
-
contour and slope grid, physically based
-
square grid, conceptual
- Stanford
IV, Cequeau, ModCou o lumped, conceptual
- CREC,
GR4J, Gardenia
-
semi-lumped, specialised to saturation runoff : Topmodel
what
could be a typical problem for FIRMA modelling ?
the
Chestnut Valley: an example
Background
- Privas,
ArdËche dept, France
-
Key industry : chesnut processing (Christmas, etc.)
-
On the OuvËze river, a tributary to the Rhne
-
Some agricultural opportunities in the valley, downstream
from Privas
The state today of the chestnut valley
-
two tributaries of the Ouveze are used for providing water
to the chestnut industry.
-
Water shortages in Privas
-
Ouveze dry off in summer in Privas
-
Ouveze is merely chesnut waste donwstream from Privas ;
biology near to down to the Rhne.
-
Agriculture does not really start, because lacking water
Spontaneous
sectorial remediation projects
-
for problems in Privas
-
building dams on the tributaries for an enhancement
of water availability in Privas ; maybe, to sustain
summer discharge of the Ouveze
-
for agriculture
-
building a irrigation pipe from the Rhne
-
An idea for integrated management
-
irrigation pipe to go up to Privas
-
chestnut waste to be diverted to the agricultural areas
-
Expected benefits
-
abundant water to the industry and inhabitants o dam
project can be forgotten
-
river will biologically recover
-
A need o evaluate this and others scheme quickly
A
point raised it that small events may be forgotten by policy
makers. If you are not experiencing floods, it is difficult
to believe that you are at risk of a big flood. In recently
developed areas, there is no memory of what risk can be, and
in the chain of decision making, people are not aware of what
the risks are. The absence of risk through engineering control
means that people do not think what will happen. But by thinking
that small scale risk is decreasing, this means that there
will be less anxiety about big risks, which may still present
a danger.
Using physical catchment as the scale of measurement has been
brought into question Problems of demand for water from different
sources are relevant here. For example, if tourism or agriculture
take water not from their own catchment. By not having an
integrated framework, it may be that stakeholders may achieve
their objectives more easily. The Chestnut Valley is an example
of wherelocal action is not the answer. The local suggestion
would be to build a damm, but analysis suggests other options,
such as a pipe to bring water in from other areas. |