A Short Philosophy of History

From: Joe E. Dees (joedees@bellsouth.net)
Date: Sun May 14 2000 - 08:31:01 BST

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                            A Short Philosophy of History

    By Joe E, Dees

    I. An Improved Theory of the Past

            There are many existing philosophies of history, and each has its
    own elements of truth, insofar as they authentically explicate an
    understanding of past events and the reasons for them. However, either
    by not following through with their premises to deduceable conclusions
    or by actual error in such an attempt, all of them are in some respects
    incomplete. This, of course, is a reason for their multiplicity and
    diversity. The theory to be expounded here is to the greater degree a
    decanting of the elements of each which, from our present perspective,
    can be said to possess some validity. To a lesser degree, it draws from
    the synthesis of these elements further conclusions as to both a
    structure which may be consistently applied to history, and both
    empirical observations and logical deductions which lend support to its
    perceptual soundness and conceptual validity.
            Before we proceed any further, a disclaimer must be made. In no
    manner do we intend this theory to be construed as either final or
    complete. The evolution of historical conceptions is a staircase of
    successively more broad and profound conjectures which shall only end
    with the end of humanity when this unfortunate yet inevitable event
    occurs. This theory only proposes to be another step; another
    synthesis of preceding views which itself is destined to be subsumed by
    a more inclusive view. In addition, any theory, by the very definition of
    the term, is necessarily restricted to the realm of probability; any theory
    asserted absolutely is irretrievably mired in self-contradiction. This is
    true of any theory; however it is doubly true of any historical theory; it is
    impossible to either fully recapture the significance of the past as it
    appeared as a present, or to a priori apprehend and interpret as yet
    nonexistent future events. Even dealing solely with a hypothetical
    “present”, it is practically impossible to empirically verify all logical
    consequences of any given theory, including a theory of history. With
    these necessary limitations firmly in mind, we shall attempt our synthesis...
            What, however, is a philosophy of history, or to put it more
    succinctly, what are we here attempting to do? Any philosophy is a
    theory; a theory seeks to discern patterns and regularities within its
    object (or subject) of perusal. History itself is a succession of more or
    less purposeful actions or events occurring within the experiential realm
    of a perpetually changing cast of human agents of change. For example:
    the view that God moves history with an “invisible hand” is empirically
    unfounded; otherwise, the hand would have to be visible to the
    theorizer, and this is self-contradictory. However, no one can reasonably
    deny that the idea of God in the minds of human agents has had a
    profound effect upon the evolutionary direction of events. Thus a
    philosophy of history seeks to discern regularities within this perceived
    temporal succession, as a philosophy of personhood seeks such
    regularities within the universe, etc. In addition, a philosophy seeks
    logically coherent reasons for such patterns as may be discerned, and a
    philosophy of history is no exception.

    II. The Synthesis
            Spengler is correct (as were his predecessors) concerning the
    multicyclical nature of cultural rise and fall; he was incorrect in his
    assertion that nothing passes on from fallen cultures to succeeding
    ones, and Toynbee corrects this error. Neither of them noted, however,
    the combination of successively greater pinnacles of achievement and
    successively shorter spans of duration to be found within temporally
    successive cultures. Cultures do fall, but not to the point that nothing is
    left (that possibility is uniquely ours); however, neither do they advance
    unimpeded. The actual progression is somewhere in between. Toynbee
    did not realize the true force of Spengler’s (and Sorokin’s) raison d’etre
    for the falls. For both of them, the denigration of the unifying cultural
    belief in the face of the counterexample of knowledge fragments the
    culture. This contention, synthesized with Toynbee’s position that each
    succeeding culture begins with both more breadth of knowledge and
    more depth of same than its predecessors, suggests that within each
    succeeding culture the advance of knowledge to a position contradicting
    belief is accomplished in a shorter time span. Therefore, although greater
    syntheses are produced by succeeding cultures, they also suffer
    successively shorter life spans. We called these (at first) dolphin
    oscillations; we now tend to call them pre-adolescent culture traumas.
            We state that the anthropomorphization of a cultural identity is both
    useful and veridical, because cultures are collections of people sharing
    common ground perspectives. We then explore the parallels between the
    infancy of a culture and the infancy of a composite human, a la Piaget.
            Piaget states that the infant is egocentric and mentally matures in the
    direction of socialized thought. The infant early on believes in a magical
    and animistic lived world of relatively small dimensions which is directed
    towards the fulfillment of childish needs and desires. This is not a
    conception; the child actually perceives the world in this way. All things
    seen together are connected by syncretistic logic – this is known as
    assimilation. The world is juxtaposed by means of this assimilation,
    which follows the rule of “intellectual realism”; the world “is” as the child
    believes because it ‘must be”, and this world-view colors the child’s
    perceptions to agree. The sun and moon follow the child around, the
    road rises to meet him/her, the birds sing because the child is present to
    hear, the scent of the flowers is tailored to please, and all of this is
    managed by a noncognitive, magical and mystical animism whose only
    reason for being is to please the child.
            As the child matures, this magic fades. When the child must interact
    with others, the necessity for developing both concepts by which to
    communicate and consistent logic with which to persuade progressively
    manifests. The child is no longer the absolute; his/her position must be
    justified to the other. De-centering occurs. The sun and moon follow
    others also, therefore they follow no one; the road stays put, the birds
    sing and the flowers bloom for everyone to see and hear and smell. In
    short, experience is present at hand to be taken up by all and is no longer
    directed exclusively towards the now maturing person. The living
    presence fades from perception as the child’s world-view is socialized. It
    must therefore (for the child) be culturally preserved.
            In the same manner, a culture is primordially egocentric and believes
    that the universe is somehow magically ordered for its benefit. Such
    beliefs are, to some degree, necessary for the perpetuation of the culture,
    but many are not sufficient – this is why many cultures die a-borning for
    lack of the belief’s production of the Camusian byproducts of human
    dignity, industry and community. These cultures which survive their
    birth, however, eventually come into contact with “other” cultures.
    Whether they subsume, are subsumed by, or coexist with the other(s),
    intercultural socialization begins. This process results in the realization
    that the belief system is not a given, but must be justified in relation to
    alternative beliefs which perform the same perpetuating functions for
    their cultures. (In the same manner, “laws” of quantum mechanics
    mutually justify each other without any one of them occupying a central
    or fundamental position.) Also, such belief systems and their empirically
    testable consequences must agree with the ever-expanding perceptions
    of the world. This imperative is akin to both Kant’s dictum that concepts
    must be grounded in percepts, and Merleau-Ponty’s view of reality as
    inter-subjective. Together, these two necessities provoke the evolution
    of the bridge between individual and societal perceptions. The
    foregoing also explains both T. S. Eliot’s observation that culture and
    religion are symbiotic and Toynbee’s contention that advancing cultures
    are accompanied by successively more complex belief systems, this last
    to accommodate successively more inclusive and detailed perceptions.
    However, the belief system ultimately fails, because of both its absolutist
    dogmatism and the inherent inability of animistic-mystical belief systems
    to keep pace with demythologizing explanations proferred by technical
    advances. According to Stephen Pepper, animistic world hypotheses fail
    due to inadequate precision (common-sense fails). They tend to
    anthropomorphize magical presence into authoritarian spirit, which is
    crystallized into infallible, but, alas, all-too-fallible, authority. This
    authority breaks down under successively more central, supportable and
    precise criticism. Also, mystical world hypotheses fail due to a lack of
    scope. Their view originates with the acceptance of a “central fact”. The
    entire universe is interpreted, whether it fits or not, as absorbed within
    this “fact”. Where this absorption is implausible, the offending fact is
    denounced as unreal. The adherents of such “facts” are emotional and
    reductionistic. They believe themselves to be the vessels through which
    the “true fact” must be promulgated according to a dogma of certainty.
            Both “certainty” and “infallibility” are illusions produced by
    inadequate world-views. What opposes them is useful truth.
            The pragmatists argue that the a priori of truth is utility and the
    existentialists argue that the a priori of utility is truth. The precedence
    chosen depends upon the referential frame of the chooser, and we tend
    to view truth and utility as co-primordial, symbiotic and mutually
    grounding. However, when useful truth unmasks by counterexample of
    the world hypotheses’ conclusions the fallibility and uncertainty of their
    premises, these premises inevitably crumble. Our beliefs have, for better
    or worse, chosen us long enough; it is now time to reasonably choose
    our beliefs to avoid such contradiction. Culture has never matured
    (except for the perceptual side in the Orient) before in world history; we
    can end all hope of its maturation in the future or ourselves be the first
    culture which successfully matures.
            
            
            

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