Received: by alpheratz.cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk id CAA09419 (8.6.9/5.3[ref pg@gmsl.co.uk] for cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk from fmb-majordomo@mmu.ac.uk); Fri, 2 Jun 2000 02:14:23 +0100 From: "Richard Brodie" <richard@brodietech.com> To: <memetics@mmu.ac.uk> Subject: RE: What is "useful"; what is "survival" Date: Thu, 1 Jun 2000 18:12:08 -0700 Message-ID: <NBBBIIDKHCMGAIPMFFPJKEGNEOAA.richard@brodietech.com> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Priority: 3 (Normal) X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2911.0) X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.2919.6600 Importance: Normal In-Reply-To: <392CECD3.E53E6CA4@mediaone.net> Sender: fmb-majordomo@mmu.ac.uk Precedence: bulk Reply-To: memetics@mmu.ac.uk
Chuck wrote:
<<Wrong. My theory is Darwinian. (If it still isn't clear by now, I can't
make it
any more clear) I have already posted how Darwinian theory can be
falsified -
and it so far hasn't in the last 150 years. The way to falsify this
particular
set of facts is to find a society now or in the past where reputation plays
the
key role in the establishment of trust associated with a geographically
mobile
population.>>
This is off topic, but I think Ebay fits that description very well.
<<Question: where do you get your information on the nature of science? Did
Microsoft provide any courses on the subject while you were there?>>
I worked rather than studied while I was at Microsoft. The only course I
ever took there was on the Component Object Model, but we did have a large
number of copies of Polya's book "How To Solve It" in the company library.
As a kid I was always a science nerd and voraciously read Asimov's
nonfiction, Scientific American, and many, many puzzle books (especially by
Martin Gardner). I don't think understanding the nature of science is so
much about information as intelligence. Like evolution, it's a highly
abstract concept about concepts and most people are more comfortable with
concretes, or at best concepts about concretes.
[RB]
> The only way to know what is scientifically valid is
> to successfully predict the future.
<<Really? On what level? If you mean specific events, of course not; if you
mean
the general form of the future will still conform to Darwininian laws, it
does.>>
Really! A valid physics will predict where a steel ball will land when
propelled with a certain velocity! A valid genetics will predict the
statistical distribution of a trait in offspring! Theories for understanding
the past, while they may be intellectually satisfying, are not
scientifically valuable unless they predict future results. As you quite
perceptively pointed out in a previous post, those "future results" could
actually be as-yet-undiscovered facts about the past.
Richard Brodie richard@brodietech.com
http://www.memecentral.com/rbrodie.htm
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