Received: by alpheratz.cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk id UAA10629 (8.6.9/5.3[ref pg@gmsl.co.uk] for cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk from fmb-majordomo@mmu.ac.uk); Thu, 16 Aug 2001 20:53:14 +0100 Date: Thu, 16 Aug 2001 12:51:11 -0700 From: Bill Spight <bspight@pacbell.net> Subject: Re: Gene-Meme Co-evolution in Reverse? To: memetics@mmu.ac.uk Message-id: <3B7C242F.355B77D4@pacbell.net> Organization: Saybrook Graduate School X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en]C-CCK-MCD {Yahoo;YIP052400} (Win95; U) Content-type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Accept-Language: en References: <3B77C15F.53DB4F56@bioinf.man.ac.uk> <3B78467C.23861.97B28C@localhost> <3B78EC87.E7BA8B4@bioinf.man.ac.uk> Sender: fmb-majordomo@mmu.ac.uk Precedence: bulk Reply-To: memetics@mmu.ac.uk
Dear Chris,
Chris Taylor wrote:
>
> joedees@bellsouth.net wrote:
> >
> > On 13 Aug 2001, at 17:32, Philip Jonkers wrote:
> >
> > Although the average IQ of a child is found by estimating the
> > difference between it's mother's IQ and the average and the
> > difference between its father's IQ and the average, choosing the
> > midpoints of these two differences and splitting the difference, IQ
> > will still range both above and below this average on the bell curve.
> >
> > Progeny IQ calculating example:
> > Average IQ being stated as 100
> >
> > Father's IQ: 140
> > Mother's IQ: 160
> >
> > Father's midpoint: 120
> > Mother's midpoint: 130
> >
> > Top of bell curve for child's likely IQ: 125
>
> Our hope lies in the variance then! Otherwise it's a march to the
> middle.
>
Chris, that's Galton's error. Regression to the norm. There is no such
process.
E. g.,
Brother's IQ: 140
Sister's IQ: 160
Top of bell curve for parent's likely IQ: 125.
Smart (tall, whatever) parents are likely to have children who are not
so smart (tall, whatever), *and vice versa*. Regression is a property of
correlated, variable data, not a law of nature.
Best,
Bill
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