Re: virus: Laying down the law

From: Joe E. Dees (joedees@bellsouth.net)
Date: Sat Jan 13 2001 - 07:44:31 GMT

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    From: "Joe E. Dees" <joedees@bellsouth.net>
    To: memetics@mmu.ac.uk
    Date: Sat, 13 Jan 2001 01:44:31 -0600
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    Subject: Re: virus: Laying down the law
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    From: "John Rappel" <john.rappel@home.com>
    To: <virus@lucifer.com>
    Subject: virus: Laying down the law
    Date sent: Sat, 13 Jan 2001 00:23:56 -0700
    Send reply to: virus@lucifer.com

    > Rappel's Theory of Scientific Truth:
    >
    > a = e-1
    > --- X t
    > e
    >
    > where a = actual Agreement of Theory with Reality, e = effort expended on
    > refining and replacing the theory (generally rated in cumulative scientist
    > years - note that this cannot be a negative number, or zero, in our
    > universe), and t = experimentally measured accuracy of theory expressed as a
    > ratio (ie, accurate to 9999 parts in 10 000).
    >
    > Since v (Veracity) is fixed at 1 to 1 (reduced to 1), then for all values of
    > e and a it can be clearly seen that all theories fall short of immutability.
    >
    > The corollary, Rappel's Law, states that
    >
    > "All values of t tend towards the value expressed by (e-1)/e in
    > proportionate force to the disparity."
    >
    >
    > While I intended only to elaborate upon a point I was making for my own
    > amusement, upon reflecting upon the Theory and Law I thought them worthy of
    > sharing with the virian group. I could be utterly misled, but I thought them
    > rather neat - the obvious implication is that theories are replaced or
    > majorly revised when Rappel's Law indicates that there is a large vector of
    > tension away from the less accurate predictions, and that this resets the
    > value of "e" such that there is little impetus towards another major
    > revision of theory until a correspondingly greater effort is made to prove
    > it inadequate - while continually bringing the value of "a" closer and
    > closer to 1, or as it is otherwise known, Truth.
    >
    >
    > This also relates to an oral discussion I had last Sunday with the Calgary
    > Virians, in which I expressed the heretical opinion that scientific progress
    > might plateau at some point and no longer advance at the rates currently
    > seen or projected in the future. I don't agree with the logical necessity of
    > an infinite progression of levels of scientific understanding of phenomena,
    > and regardless of whether I am correct or not in this disagreement, it may
    > be that while it is possible to further refine a particular scientific
    > theory, that the increase in accuracy and predictive power can become
    > infinitesmial.
    >
    > For example, if genetic engineering advanced to a point where flesh could be
    > sculpted to any form desired, humans were made immortal and of super-genius
    > intelligence, diseases conquered, and any planet inhabitable through
    > adaptation of the human body, what further advances in this area would be
    > needed? If matter-antimatter power was perfected to where I could run a city
    > on a powerplant the size of a soccer ball, would it really be worth
    > developing the baseball-size version? I think there comes a point where
    > diminishing returns in all areas will curtail scientific advancement
    > greatly, as the energy expended will become less and less
    efficient.

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