Re: psychohistory

From: Alan Patrick (a.patrick@btinternet.com)
Date: Tue 27 Jul 2004 - 15:07:47 GMT

  • Next message: Scott Chase: "Re: psychohistory"

    --- Scott Chase <osteopilus@yahoo.com> wrote: >

    > I'll have to look into it, yet somewhere in the
    > large
    > part of my post you snipped I made allowances for
    > modest, short-term predictions. Now how well does
    > this
    > stuff hold up in the case of an unforeseen Mule? If
    > we
    > were to use chaos maths, evolutionary algorithms and
    > big computers with CRM systems loaded in, could we
    > go
    > back in time, say to when there were dinosaurs and
    > *predicted* the actual impact and subsequent effects
    > of an asteroid?

    I snip for brevity, I hate long posts....anyway, I thought it was implicit in your discussion that the
    "Mule" - aka a major discontinuity like an asteroid etc - knocks any form of predictive maths off its perch. The ongoing series is how the Foundation tries to rescue the situation....but then I'd give the plot away if I went farther.

    Alan

    =============================================================== This was distributed via the memetics list associated with the Journal of Memetics - Evolutionary Models of Information Transmission For information about the journal and the list (e.g. unsubscribing) see: http://www.cpm.mmu.ac.uk/jom-emit



    This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5 : Tue 27 Jul 2004 - 15:11:53 GMT