From: Lawrence DeBivort (debivort@umd5.umd.edu)
Date: Fri 02 May 2003 - 14:02:34 GMT
Thanks for the useful citations on group think, Scott.
I assume you meant the U-2 shot down over Russia, rather than Cuba?
Cheers, Lawry
> If one wants to talk about social dynamics, politics and policy decisions
> they might want to consult Irving Janis. After reading his example of a
> NON-"groupthink" counterpoint of the Cuban missile crisis I rewatched
> Thirteen Days (starring Kevin Costner et al) and realized how
> close I (and
> the rest of you) may have been to never being born. My parents could have
> easily joined the millions of other crispy critters that would
> have resulted
> if cooler heads hadn't prevailed, especially after the U-2 being
> shot down
> over Cuba. 9-11 would have been eclipsed, if it could have even happened,
> given New York City might have met several Soviet nukes.
>
> Yet that was a non-"groupthink" counterpoint, an example where groupthink
> was supposedly not prevalent. Janis offers several putative examples of
> actual groupthink in his book _Groupthink_ (1983. Houghton
> Mifflin Compny.
> Boston) such as Bay of Pigs, Pearl Harbor and the Vietnam escalation ("We
> Were Soldiers" anyone?).
>
> Kirsten Schulze (Fall 1998. Israeli crisis decision-making in the Lebanon
> war: group madness or individual ambition?. Israel Studies
> (v3:i2), p. 215)
> considers the phenomenon of groupthink, as opposed to Arik's personal
> ambition, being important in Israel's invasion and subsequent war in
> Lebanon. John Schwartz and Matthew Wald discuss the Challenger and recent
> Columbia space shuttle disasters in their New York Times article
> (March 9,
> 2003) on groupthink (called "'Groupthink' is 30 years old, and
> still going
> strong; NASA's curse?").
>
> Janis' groupthink notion sounds more like a workable sort of
> "psychohistory"
> to me than either the psychoanalytical or scifi versions I've read about.
> Janis applies social psychology to historical events. I wonder
> what memetics
> could add to what Janis puts forward with groupthink?...
>
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