Fwd: Don't turn your back on science

From: Wade T.Smith (wade_smith@harvard.edu)
Date: Tue May 23 2000 - 18:48:28 BST

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    Don't turn your back on science

    An open letter from biologist Richard Dawkins to Prince Charles

    Sunday May 21, 2000 THE OBSERVER

    Your Royal Highness,

    Your Reith lecture saddened me. I have deep sympathy for your aims, and
    admiration for your sincerity. But your hostility to science will not
    serve
    those aims; and your embracing of an ill-assorted jumble of mutually
    contradictory alternatives will lose you the respect that I think you
    deserve. I forget who it was who remarked: 'Of course we must be
    open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.'

    Let's look at some of the alternative philosophies which you seem to
    prefer
    over scientific reason. First, intuition, the heart's wisdom 'rustling
    like
    a breeze through the leaves'. Unfortunately, it depends whose intuition
    you
    choose. Where aims (if not methods) are concerned, your own intuitions
    coincide with mine. I wholeheartedly share your aim of long-term
    stewardship of our planet, with its diverse and complex biosphere.

    But what about the instinctive wisdom in Saddam Hussein's black heart?
    What
    price the Wagnerian wind that rustled Hitler's twisted leaves? The
    Yorkshire Ripper heard religious voices in his head urging him to kill.
    How
    do we decide which intuitive inner voices to heed?

    This, it is important to say, is not a dilemma that science can solve. My
    own passionate concern for world stewardship is as emotional as yours. But
    where I allow feelings to influence my aims, when it comes to deciding the
    best method of achieving them I'd rather think than feel. And thinking,
    here, means scientific thinking. No more effective method exists. If it
    did, science would incorporate it.

    Next, Sir, I think you may have an exaggerated idea of the naturalness of
    'traditional' or 'organic' agriculture. Agriculture has always been
    unnatural. Our species began to depart from our natural hunter-gatherer
    lifestyle as recently as 10,000 years ago - too short to measure on the
    evolutionary timescale.

    Wheat, be it ever so wholemeal and stoneground, is not a natural food for
    Homo sapiens. Nor is milk, except for children. Almost every morsel of our
    food is genetically modified - admittedly by artificial selection not
    artificial mutation, but the end result is the same. A wheat grain is a
    genetically modified grass seed, just as a pekinese is a genetically
    modified wolf. Playing God? We've been playing God for centuries!

    The large, anonymous crowds in which we now teem began with the
    agricultural revolution, and without agriculture we could survive in only
    a
    tiny fraction of our current numbers. Our high population is an
    agricultural (and technological and medical) artifact. It is far more
    unnatural than the population-limiting methods condemned as unnatural by
    the Pope. Like it or not, we are stuck with agriculture, and agriculture -
    all agriculture - is unnatural. We sold that pass 10,000 years ago.

    Does that mean there's nothing to choose between different kinds of
    agriculture when it comes to sustainable planetary welfare? Certainly not.
    Some are much more damaging than others, but it's no use appealing to
    'nature', or to 'instinct' in order to decide which ones. You have to
    study
    the evidence, soberly and reasonably - scientifically. Slashing and
    burning
    (incidentally, no agricultural system is closer to being 'traditional')
    destroys our ancient forests. Overgrazing (again, widely practised by
    'traditional' cultures) causes soil erosion and turns fertile pasture into
    desert. Moving to our own modern tribe, monoculture, fed by powdered
    fertilisers and poisons, is bad for the future; indiscriminate use of
    antibiotics to promote livestock growth is worse.

    Incidentally, one worrying aspect of the hysterical opposition to the
    possible risks from GM crops is that it diverts attention from definite
    dangers which are already well understood but largely ignored. The
    evolution of antibiotic-resistant strains of bacteria is something that a
    Darwinian might have foreseen from the day antibiotics were discovered.
    Unfortunately the warning voices have been rather quiet, and now they are
    drowned by the baying cacophony: 'GM GM GM GM GM GM!'

    Moreover if, as I expect, the dire prophecies of GM doom fail to
    materialise, the feeling of let-down may spill over into complacency about
    real risks. Has it occurred to you that our present GM brouhaha may be a
    terrible case of crying wolf?

    Even if agriculture could be natural, and even if we could develop some
    sort of instinctive rapport with the ways of nature, would nature be a
    good
    role model? Here, we must think carefully. There really is a sense in
    which
    ecosystems are balanced and harmonious, with some of their constituent
    species becoming mutually dependent. This is one reason the corporate
    thuggery that is destroying the rainforests is so criminal.

    On the other hand, we must beware of a very common misunderstanding of
    Darwinism. Tennyson was writing before Darwin but he got it right. Nature
    really is red in tooth and claw. Much as we might like to believe
    otherwise, natural selection, working within each species, does not favour
    long-term stewardship. It favours short-term gain. Loggers, whalers, and
    other profiteers who squander the future for present greed, are only doing
    what all wild creatures have done for three billion years.

    No wonder T.H. Huxley, Darwin's bulldog, founded his ethics on a
    repudiation of Darwinism. Not a repudiation of Darwinism as science, of
    course, for you cannot repudiate truth. But the very fact that Darwinism
    is
    true makes it even more important for us to fight against the naturally
    selfish and exploitative tendencies of nature. We can do it. Probably no
    other species of animal or plant can. We can do it because our brains
    (admittedly given to us by natural selection for reasons of short-term
    Darwinian gain) are big enough to see into the future and plot long-term
    consequences. Natural selection is like a robot that can only climb
    uphill,
    even if this leaves it stuck on top of a measly hillock. There is no
    mechanism for going downhill, for crossing the valley to the lower slopes
    of the high mountain on the other side. There is no natural foresight, no
    mechanism for warning that present selfish gains are leading to species
    extinction - and indeed, 99 per cent of all species that have ever lived
    are extinct.

    The human brain, probably uniquely in the whole of evolutionary history,
    can see across the valley and can plot a course away from extinction and
    towards distant uplands. Long-term planning - and hence the very
    possibility of stewardship - is something utterly new on the planet, even
    alien. It exists only in human brains. The future is a new invention in
    evolution. It is precious. And fragile. We must use all our scientific
    artifice to protect it.

    It may sound paradoxical, but if we want to sustain the planet into the
    future, the first thing we must do is stop taking advice from nature.
    Nature is a short-term Darwinian profiteer. Darwin himself said it: 'What
    a
    book a devil's chaplain might write on the clumsy, wasteful, blundering,
    low, and horridly cruel works of nature.'

    Of course that's bleak, but there's no law saying the truth has to be
    cheerful; no point shooting the messenger - science - and no sense in
    preferring an alternative world view just because it feels more
    comfortable. In any case, science isn't all bleak. Nor, by the way, is
    science an arrogant know-all. Any scientist worthy of the name will warm
    to
    your quotation from Socrates: 'Wisdom is knowing that you don't know.'
    What
    else drives us to find out?

    What saddens me most, Sir, is how much you will be missing if you turn
    your
    back on science. I have tried to write about the poetic wonder of science
    myself, but may I take the liberty of presenting you with a book by
    another
    author? It is The Demon-Haunted World by the lamented Carl Sagan. I'd call
    your attention especially to the subtitle: Science as a Candle in the
    Dark .

    - Richard Dawkins is the Charles Simonyi Professor of the Public
    Understanding of Science at Oxford University. His latest book is
    'Unweaving the Rainbow' .

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