Bootstrapping Knowledge about Social
Phenomena using Simulation
Models
CPM Report No.: 08-199
By: Bruce Edmonds
Date: 22nd November 2008
Invited talk at EPOS III: III Edition of
Epistemological Perspectives on Simulation, Oct 2 -
3, 2008 - Lisbon, Portugal.
Abstract
Formidable difficulties face anyone
trying to model social phenomena using a formal system, such as a
computer program. The differences between formal systems and complex,
multi-facetted and meaning-laden social systems are so fundamental that
many will criticise any attempt to bridge this gap. Despite this, there
are those who are so bullish about the project of social simulation
that they appear to believe that simple computer models, that are also
useful and reliable indicators of how aspects of society works, are not
only possible but within our grasp. This paper seeks to pour water on
such optimism but, on the other hand, show that useful computational
models might be ‘evolved’. In this way it is disagreeing with both
naive positivist and relativistic post-modernist positions. However
this will require a greater ‘selective pressure’ against models that
are not grounded in evidence, ‘floating models’, and will result in a
plethora of complex and context-specific models.
Accessible as:
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