Modelling Socioeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa

By: Shah Jamal Alam, Ruth Meyer and Gina Ziervogel
Date: 27th August 2006 (updated)
CPM Report No.: CPM-06-165

Proc. First World Congress on Social Simulation (WCSS'06), August 21-25, Kyoto, Japan


HIV/AIDS is a key concern in South Africa. However, its impact cannot be examined in isolation of other stresses, such as food insecurity, high climate variability, market fluctuations, and poor governance. In this paper, we present an agent-based simulation model of the social impacts of HIV/AIDS in villages in the Vhembe district, Limpopo Province, South Africa. It has been developed in the context of the CAVES (Complexity, Agents, Vulnerability, Evidence, and Scale) project. It is our understanding that modelling the complex interactions at the individual and household level will enable stakeholders to better understand the impact of stressors and potential coping strategies at the community level. The model and its preliminary results are presented to motivate discussion among the social science community.

 Keywords: HIV/AIDS impact, household structure, evidence-based ABSS, social networks

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