Centre for Policy Modelling

The CPM (cfpm.org) is a research-only unit of the MMU Business School that has focussed on complexity science and social simulation since 1992.  The CPM has recently been partners in the following relevant projects.  NANIA (Novel Approaches to Networks of Interacting Autonomes) an EPSRC project funded under its “Novel Computation” initiative, 2005-2009, during which the collaboration between the TPG, the CPM and ISC was developed.  This explored the techniques and methods of agent- and individual-based simulation modelling across a number of sciences.  EMIL (Emergence In the Loop: simulating the two way dynamics of norm innovation) an EU FP6 project, under its Future Emergent Technologies initiative, five EU partners, 2006-2009,  is using agent-based simulation to understand how new social conventions and norms emerge and spread in these systems. Previous CPM projects have included the EU CAVES (Complexity, Agents, Volatility, Evidence and Scale) project (which the CPM led) which developed the use of descriptive simulation to capture aspects of social networks and social change in three different detailed case studies; the EU FIRMA project which used agent-based simulations to model social issues around the management of common water resources; and the EPSRC-funded IMIS (Intelligent Management Integrated System) project. 

Bruce Edmonds, a CoI of SCID, is the Director of the Centre for Policy Modelling (CPM), Scientific Chair of the 6th European Social Simulation Association Conference to be held in 2009, and currently editing a 1000-page Handbook on “Simulating Social Complexity” for Springer.  He is led the modelling work package of FIRMA and is leading the final summative theory workpackage of EMIL.  He has developed many new social simulation techniques (e.g. Edmonds, Norling & Hales, 2009), championed the descriptive modelling approach (Edmonds & Moss, 2005) and the methodology of social simulation, included the method of cross-validation (Moss & Edmonds, 2005). The named CPM RA, Ruth Meyer, was the key modeller in CAVES (Alam, Meyer, Ziervogel & Moss, 2007) and her previous modelling the geographical routes of couriers (Hilty, Meyer, & Ruddy, 2001).  Together they have unique expertise in social simulation, in particular in the building of the descriptive simulations that will link the models of complexity science to the issues and evidence from the social sciences.