Sociology and Simulation:
- Statistical and Qualitative Cross-Validation
CPM Report No.: 03-105
By: Scott Moss and
Date: 12th Jan 2003.
Moss, S. and Edmonds, B. (2005) Sociology and Simulation: - Statistical and
Qualitative Cross-Validation, American Journal of Sociology, 110(4).
The observance of unpredictable episodes of clustered volatility in
series has led to the development of models of social processes that
give rise to such clustered volatility. Such models are not,
validated directly against qualitative evidence about the behaviour of
and how they interact. An agent based simulation model of the
of drought on domestic water consumption is reported here that is the
of a process of development involving stakeholders to inform and
the model qualitatively at micro level while ensuring that numerical
from the model cohere with observed time series data. We argue
this cross-validation of agent based social simulation models is a
advancement in the analysis of social process.