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Simulation and Reality

References


[1] Moss, Gaylard, Wallis and Edmonds (1998), "SDML: A multi-agent language for organisational modelling", Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, in press.

[2] Konolige, K. (1988), "On the relation between default and autoepistemic logic", Artificial Intelligence, v. 35, pp. 343-382.

[3] Armstrong, J.S. (1978) Forecasting with econometric methods: Folklore versus fact", Journal of Business, v. 51, pp.

[4] Bunn, D. and Wright, G. 1991 "Interaction of judgmental and statistical forecasting methods: issues and analysis", Management Science, v.37, pp.501-518

[5] Turner, D.S. (1990), "The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting", Journal of Forecasting, v. 9, pp.315-345.

[6] Collopy, F. and Armstrong, J.S. (1992), "Rule-based forecasting: Development and validation of an expert-systems approach to combining time-series extrapolations", Management Science, v.38, pp.1394-1414.

[7] Moss, S., M. Artis and P. Ormerod (1994), A Smart Macroeconomic Forecasting System. Journal of Forecasting 13 (3), 299-312.

[8] Newell, A.(1990), Unified Theories of Cognition, (Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press).

[9] Laird, J.E., A. Newell and P.S. Rosenbloom (1987), "Soar: An architecture for general intelligence", Artificial Intelligence, v. 33, pp. 1-64.

[10] Cooper, R., J. Fox, J. Farringdon and T. Shallice (1996), "A systematic methodology for cognitive modelling", Artificial Intelligence, v. 85, pp. 3-44.

[11] Ye, M. and K.E. Carley (1995), "Radar Soar: Towards an Artificial Organization Composed of Intelligent Agents", Journal of Mathematical Sociology, v. 20, pp. 219-246.

[12] Moss, S. and B. Edmonds (1997), A Knowledge-based Model of Context-Dependent Attribute Preferences for Fast Moving Consumer Goods, Omega, 25, 155-169.

[13] Edmonds and Moss (1997), "Artificially Intelligent Specification and Analysis
of Context-Dependent Attribute Preferences", Centre for Policy Modelling Technical Report 97-28

[14] Arthur, W.B., J. Holland, B. LeBaron, R. Palmer and P. Tayler (1996), "Asset Pricing under Endogenous Expectations in an Artificial Stock Market", University of Wisconsin-Madison, Social Systems Research Institute 9625.

[15] Moss and Edmonds (1997), "Modelling economic learning as modelling", Cybernetics and Systems.

[16] Anderson, J.R. (1993), Rules of the Mind (Hillsdale NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates).

[17] Aukutsionek, S. (1995) "The Market Reform and Transitional Crisis", The Russian Economic Barometer,vol.4, no.1, pp.22-41.


Simulation and Reality - 20 MAY 98
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