Re: Words and memes

From: Wade Smith (
Date: Mon Feb 11 2002 - 15:59:12 GMT

  • Next message: Lawrence DeBivort: "RE: Words and memes"

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    Subject: Re: Words and memes
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    On Friday, February 8, 2002, at 03:20 , Keith Henson wrote:

    > What I am looking for is predictive "urban dynamics" models for
    > the development of ... wild social movements of the al-Qaeda
    > type. We probably have enough historical data to set the
    > coefficients. These would include wealth per capita,
    > distribution of wealth, the rate of change of wealth per
    > capita, and the number of later born children (See Born to
    > Rebel by Solloway). I fear that such a model will predict
    > disaster in Saudi Arabia, Israel and other places we don't know
    > about. Tweaking the model inputs my show us how to prevent
    > disaster.

    Another instance of the Hari Seldon psychohistory mystique.

    And yet another instance where the inclusion of memes is
    non-parsimonious, as I've indicated from the ellipsis I inserted

    At any rate, it's more time for models of social success, within
    modern diversity, than models of (always historically accurate)

    - Wade

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