Received: by alpheratz.cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk id GAA21702 (8.6.9/5.3[ref email@example.com] for cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk from firstname.lastname@example.org); Thu, 2 May 2002 06:12:10 +0100 Message-ID: <email@example.com> Date: Wed, 1 May 2002 22:06:53 -0700 (PDT) From: Trupeljak Ozren <firstname.lastname@example.org> Subject: Re: future language To: email@example.com In-Reply-To: <003901c1f12d$272764c0$5e2ffea9@oemcomputer> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Sender: firstname.lastname@example.org Precedence: bulk Reply-To: email@example.com
--- Philip Jonkers <firstname.lastname@example.org> wrote:
> Trying to know the future is like chasing ghosts. It's an illusion
> that preoccupies whole tribes as it's so darn provitable. Other than
> the motion
> of celestial bodies nature is too complex (read `chaotic') to be
> to accurate future prediction beyond perhaps a couple of seconds.
I have to strongly disagree with you on that point. First, motion of
the celestial bodies is extremely complex and quite often chaotic (in
the mathematical sense). Second, we *do* have accurate predictions of
the future for much longer time then just a few seconds - in a huge
number of domains. As a trivial example, look at your TV guide - what
is it other than a book of predictions? As a less trivial example, what
is a scope on a rifle? A device for providing predictions on where the
bullet is likely to go. Completely non-trivial example: predicting the
medical needs of a certain population, costs for providing medical care
for that population, and devising strategies for making money on it
(health insurance companies routinely solve this problem). Do you see
what I am trying to point out to you? You live in a world that
completely *depends* on a huge number of very accurate predictions. The
interesting fact in this whole story is how blind most of us are to that....
There are very few men - and they are exceptions - who are able to think and feel beyond the present moment.
Carl von Clausewitz
Do You Yahoo!?
Yahoo! Health - your guide to health and wellness
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