Re: future language

From: Trupeljak Ozren (
Date: Thu May 02 2002 - 06:06:53 BST

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    From: Trupeljak Ozren <>
    Subject: Re: future language
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    --- Philip Jonkers <> wrote:
    > Trying to know the future is like chasing ghosts. It's an illusion
    > nonetheless
    > that preoccupies whole tribes as it's so darn provitable. Other than
    > the motion
    > of celestial bodies nature is too complex (read `chaotic') to be
    > subject
    > to accurate future prediction beyond perhaps a couple of seconds.
    > Phil.

    I have to strongly disagree with you on that point. First, motion of
    the celestial bodies is extremely complex and quite often chaotic (in
    the mathematical sense). Second, we *do* have accurate predictions of
    the future for much longer time then just a few seconds - in a huge
    number of domains. As a trivial example, look at your TV guide - what
    is it other than a book of predictions? As a less trivial example, what
    is a scope on a rifle? A device for providing predictions on where the
    bullet is likely to go. Completely non-trivial example: predicting the
    medical needs of a certain population, costs for providing medical care
    for that population, and devising strategies for making money on it
    (health insurance companies routinely solve this problem). Do you see
    what I am trying to point out to you? You live in a world that
    completely *depends* on a huge number of very accurate predictions. The
    interesting fact in this whole story is how blind most of us are to that....

    There are very few men - and they are exceptions - who are able to think and feel beyond the present moment.

    Carl von Clausewitz

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