Received: by alpheratz.cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk id TAA20823 (8.6.9/5.3[ref firstname.lastname@example.org] for cpm.aca.mmu.ac.uk from email@example.com); Wed, 1 May 2002 19:44:57 +0100 Message-ID: <firstname.lastname@example.org> Date: Wed, 1 May 2002 11:39:37 -0700 (PDT) From: Trupeljak Ozren <email@example.com> Subject: Re: future language To: firstname.lastname@example.org In-Reply-To: <LAW2-F653HFnwpGR88100007c62@hotmail.com> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Sender: email@example.com Precedence: bulk Reply-To: firstname.lastname@example.org
--- Grant Callaghan <email@example.com> wrote:
> It is getting better, but the weather predictions I see every night
> on TV
> are still pretty iffy. My wife and I often joke about the number of
> they predict rain and there is none or the calls on tomorrow's
> that are off by ten to twenty degrees.
Note that I have used weather prediction as an example of a predictive
capability that we didn't even have 200 years ago, and that made
revolutionary leaps within the last 70 years (a period in which, you
say, more predictions turned out to be wrong than right). There is any
number of fields of human endeavor where our predictive capabilities
are much much better - but since they work, you engage in human bias of
not paying attention to them. This is quite different from the case
where we actually *can't* predict the future (in certain domains) with
any more accuracy than our ancestors could.
There are very few men - and they are exceptions - who are able to think and feel beyond the present moment.
Carl von Clausewitz
Do You Yahoo!?
Yahoo! Health - your guide to health and wellness
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