Re: future language

From: Trupeljak Ozren (
Date: Wed May 01 2002 - 19:39:37 BST

  • Next message: Trupeljak Ozren: "RE: future language"

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    From: Trupeljak Ozren <>
    Subject: Re: future language
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    --- Grant Callaghan <> wrote:
    > It is getting better, but the weather predictions I see every night
    > on TV
    > are still pretty iffy. My wife and I often joke about the number of
    > times
    > they predict rain and there is none or the calls on tomorrow's
    > temperature
    > that are off by ten to twenty degrees.

    Note that I have used weather prediction as an example of a predictive
    capability that we didn't even have 200 years ago, and that made
    revolutionary leaps within the last 70 years (a period in which, you
    say, more predictions turned out to be wrong than right). There is any
    number of fields of human endeavor where our predictive capabilities
    are much much better - but since they work, you engage in human bias of
    not paying attention to them. This is quite different from the case
    where we actually *can't* predict the future (in certain domains) with
    any more accuracy than our ancestors could.

    There are very few men - and they are exceptions - who are able to think and feel beyond the present moment.

    Carl von Clausewitz

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