Policy
Modelling: Problems and Prospects
CPM Report No.: 08-195
By: Scott Moss
Date: 7th July 2008
Policy
modelling is the application of agent based social simulation to the analysis
of social policies. While agent based modelling has been seen as a promising
technique for policy analysis in a number of applications such as water demand
and land use management, it has not become an important tool of business and
public policy analysis more widely. The purpose of this paper is systematically
to set policy modelling in a wider scientific context than has been attempted
previously and to use that context to explore the general conditions in which
policy modelling is appropriate and the problems to be faced in convincing
working policy analysts why and when it is the most appropriate tool of
analysis available to them.
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